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The IMF estimates for 2026 show no signs of recession. However, the global economy remains in a period of poor growth, high debt, persistent inflation and low productivity.
Wall Street set gold, silver, and Bitcoin losses aside to kick off February, with the Dow tacking on 515 points, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq settled firmly higher as well.
Microsoft Corp stock looks cheap here, despite the market's concerns about its free cash flow (FCF). One play for value investors is to sell short at-the-money and out-of-the-money put options with one-month expiration periods.
In recent days, the spread between the price of paper silver in New York and the price of physical silver in other markets has reached historic premium levels, revealing extreme pressure on the actual supply.
We are starting to see the beginnings of deglobalization: Countries are increasingly at odds with each other. There is wider disparity among political parties.
In the coming week, we will get a dense run of US macro releases, with the January jobs report set to dominate attention on Friday. We also have the ISM surveys, consumer sentiment and the latest Treasury’s quarterly refunding details.
Risk not only was realized in silver, but to varying degrees also gold and gold/silver stocks and the two metals that tend to follow silver, platinum and palladium.
Large-cap biopharma offers stable growth and dividends, outperforming the S&P 500 in early 2026. With Gilead up 46% and Pfizer
yielding 6%, the sector remains a key volatility hedge following successful U.S. manufacturing negotiations.
The Canadian Dollar extends its losses against the US Dollar on Monday, as renewed Greenback strength and falling Oil prices weigh on the commodity-linked Loonie.
The reality is that while stocks have hit new all-time highs, things have been troubling for the banks/ financial firms “behind the scenes” for months now.
The UK's FTSE 100 posted modest gains on Monday as investors shifted their focus to defensive sectors like pharmaceuticals and consumer staples amid a global downturn in energy and metal stocks.
Advanced Micro Devices’ stock surged more than 5% on Monday as investors positioned ahead of the semiconductor company’s quarterly earnings report, due after the market closes on Tuesday.
US manufacturing is rebounding as the ISM index soared to 52.6, its highest since August 2022. While production and new orders surged, economists warn of unsustainable inventory building and high prices linked to tariffs.
The markets have been rocked by news of a possible intervention to control the Japanese yen slump, after it reached a forty-year low relative to the US dollar.
Weeks ago, I speculated that Bitcoin would soon fall to “75,000-ish“. Well, I was awfully close! The low from trading last night matched with literally 99.99% accuracy the Liberation Low from back in April.
The stock market was jolted on Friday following a Wall Street Journal report that Nvidia was reconsidering its massive $100 billion investment in OpenAI.
The COT currency market speculator bets were overall decisively higher this week as ten out of the eleven currency markets we cover had higher positioning while the other one markets had lower speculator contracts.
The price action seen over the course of the past 3 trading days has been nothing short of historic, with the nomination of Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair sending shockwaves throughout markets.
In the Philippine flood-control corruption scandal, the multibillion-dollar net losses are huge. But without adequate resolution, international pressures could multiply the damage.
USDJPY rose to 154.98 on Monday, with the yen continuing to fall. Pressure on the currency increased after statements by Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi.
The AUD/USD forecast edges to the downside despite a hotter inflation print as the yields fell sharply, suggesting only a single RBA hike in the near term.
Market pressure was driven by rising Treasury yields and a strengthening dollar after President Donald Trump appointed Kevin Warsh as the successor to Fed Chair Jerome Powell.
New Census data confirms slower population growth ahead. Business leaders must prepare for lower GDP growth, zero net migration, and shortages of low-skilled labor.
Over the weekend, President Trump suggested that a workable deal with Iran could happen. That reduced fears of war, which had been pushing market prices higher.
Global markets are consolidating after sharp recent moves, with FX seeing an orderly pullback that still looks more like profit-taking than a true reversal.
The dollar has recovered a bit further as gold and silver have plunged, and we think there is enough stability to let data do the talking in FX this week.
