Recent Articles from PredictStreet

On January 7, 2026, the global media landscape underwent a seismic shift that few traditional pundits saw coming. News Corp (Nasdaq: NWSA), the parent company of Dow Jones, announced an exclusive multi-year partnership with Polymarket, the world’s leading decentralized prediction platform. This alliance does more than just share data; it signals the definitive arrival of [...]

As the battle for the future of information markets moves from the betting floor to the federal courtroom, a new consensus is emerging among the world’s most active forecasters. On the social prediction platform Manifold Markets, a high-stakes contract titled "Will Federal Preemption Protect DCMs from State Bans by End of 2026?" has seen a [...]

The era of prediction markets has officially shifted from a niche experimental phase into a primary pillar of global finance. As of January 17, 2026, the industry is no longer just a "truth machine" for political cycles; it has become a high-velocity financial engine. Recent data shows the total prediction market industry hit an all-time [...]

As of January 17, 2026, the global financial landscape has fundamentally shifted. What were once dismissed as "gambling dens" for political junkies have evolved into the world’s most accurate "truth engines." The catalyst for this transformation can be traced back to a single, high-conviction figure from the 2024 U.S. election: the pseudonymous French trader known [...]

Starting January 21, 2026, the landscape of digital information and financial speculation will undergo a seismic transformation. Alphabet Inc. (NASDAQ: GOOGL) has officially announced a major policy shift, reclassifying regulated prediction markets from "gambling" to "financial products." This change allows federally supervised platforms to advertise their services nationwide across Google’s massive search and display network, [...]

As the 2026 legislative session kicks off in Albany, New York has become the epicenter of a national struggle over the legality of "information finance." At the heart of the storm are two competing visions for the state’s regulatory future: a "scorched-earth" prohibition known as the ORACLE Act (Assembly Bill A9251) and a rival regulatory [...]

January 12, 2026, will be remembered as the day the "invisible hand" of the market finally grew a voice. In a historic 24-hour window, global prediction markets processed a staggering $701.7 million in daily trading volume, a milestone that effectively signals the end of the industry's experimental phase. This surge wasn't just a win for [...]

The landscape of American finance and media underwent a seismic shift this week as Kalshi, the first regulated event contract exchange in the U.S., officially reached "Decacorn" status with a staggering $11 billion valuation. The milestone follows a massive $1.1 billion Series E funding round, signaling that what was once a niche corner of the [...]

The prediction market world is reeling following a series of highly suspicious trades that occurred just hours before the dramatic capture of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro. While the world woke up on January 3, 2026, to the news of a high-stakes U.S. military operation in Caracas, one anonymous trader was already counting their winnings. The [...]

A landmark study from Vanderbilt University has sent shockwaves through the burgeoning prediction market industry, delivering a rigorous autopsy of the 2024 election cycle that fundamentally challenges the "liquidity equals truth" dogma of modern finance. As of January 17, 2026, the findings are reshaping how institutional investors, political strategists, and retail traders view the reliability [...]

As we cross the midpoint of January 2026, the landscape of American finance and political discourse has been fundamentally rewritten. What was once a niche corner of the internet for statistics nerds and high-stakes contrarians has become the primary lens through which the public views reality. Today, "market-implied probability" is no longer just a metric; [...]

As Bitcoin (BTC) hovers near the $95,600 mark this January 16, 2026, a curious divergence is emerging between the exuberant headlines of traditional finance and the cold, calculated skepticism of prediction markets. While retail investors celebrate a recovery from the volatile "Year of the Snake" in 2025, a growing segment of traders on platforms like [...]

The global internet, a seemingly ethereal cloud of data, is anchored to the reality of thousands of miles of fiber-optic cables resting on the ocean floor. According to prediction market participants, that physical foundation is looking increasingly precarious. As of mid-January 2026, traders on platforms like Manifold Markets are pricing in a staggering 43% to [...]

As of January 16, 2026, the geopolitical landscape is being rewritten not just in the halls of diplomacy, but across the digital ledgers of global prediction markets. In a startling shift of sentiment, traders on platforms like Polymarket, Manifold Markets, and Kalshi are pricing in a historic "Winter of Discontent" for two of the world’s [...]

The landscape of retail finance has undergone a seismic shift, culminating in today's milestone as prediction markets move from the fringes of political junkies to the center of the mobile brokerage experience. As of January 16, 2026, the partnership between Robinhood (NASDAQ: HOOD) and Kalshi has transformed "event contracts" into a multi-billion dollar asset class. [...]

As the winter legislative session kicks off in Albany, the future of prediction markets in the United States is facing its most significant legal challenge to date. Following the explosive growth of event-based wagering during the 2024 election cycle, New York lawmakers are now moving to implement some of the most stringent regulations in the [...]

As the NFL playoffs enter their most high-stakes phase, a clear consensus is emerging not just from the sidelines, but from the high-frequency trading floors of prediction markets. The Seattle Seahawks have officially solidified their position as the favorites to win Super Bowl LX, currently trading at a 25% probability on Kalshi. With the championship [...]

As the calendar turns to January 16, 2026, the political landscape is already vibrating with the energy of the next race for the White House. While the 2024 inauguration feels like a recent memory, prediction markets are signaling that the 2028 cycle has effectively begun. Vice President JD Vance has solidified his position as the [...]

As the calendar turns toward late January 2026, a familiar sense of dread has returned to the halls of Congress and the screens of global investors. After the record-breaking 43-day shutdown that paralyzed the federal government in late 2025, a new "funding cliff" is fast approaching on January 31. This time, however, the uncertainty is [...]

On January 3, 2026, as U.S. Special Operations forces executed "Operation Absolute Resolve"—a daring nighttime raid on Nicolás Maduro’s compound in Caracas—the geopolitical landscape shifted in an instant. But while the world watched the dramatic extraction of the Venezuelan leader, a storm was already brewing in the digital trenches of prediction markets. Just hours before [...]

As of January 16, 2026, the United States prediction market ecosystem has shifted from a speculative niche into a cornerstone of the modern financial landscape. Once defined by the volatility of election cycles, the sector is now witnessing an institutional-grade transformation. According to a landmark analysis by Citizens Financial Group (NYSE: CFG) and a detailed [...]

As of mid-January 2026, the landscape of broadcast journalism has fundamentally shifted. For decades, viewers tuned into news networks for opinions, expert "hot takes," and statistical polling that often lagged behind reality. That era ended this month. With the full-scale launch of landmark media partnerships between the regulated exchange Kalshi and news giants CNN (NASDAQ: [...]

As of January 16, 2026, the financial landscape has been permanently altered by a transition that many traditionalists once thought impossible: the full-scale integration of prediction markets into the daily habits of retail investors. What began as a high-stakes legal gamble in late 2024 has matured into a multi-billion dollar industry, with Robinhood Markets, Inc. [...]

As of January 16, 2026, the landscape of global prediction markets has undergone a seismic shift. For years, the industry was a two-horse race between the offshore, crypto-native Polymarket and the U.S.-regulated, institutional-grade Kalshi. Today, the results are in: the "financialization of sports" has crowned a new king. Driven by the explosive success of its [...]

On January 12, 2026, the prediction market industry reached a historic milestone, processing a staggering $701.7 million in a single 24-hour trading session. This unprecedented volume represents a watershed moment for the sector, effectively transitioning event-based contracts from a niche curiosity into a primary "truth engine" for institutional and retail investors alike. The surge was [...]

The "Little Market That Could" has finally grown up. As of January 16, 2026, the prediction market landscape looks radically different than it did just eighteen months ago. The most significant shift has not come from the arrival of new crypto-based giants, but from the rebirth of an industry pioneer: PredictIt. Following a grueling three-year [...]

The world of decentralized finance is no stranger to "whales" and high-stakes gambles, but a single series of trades executed in the final hours of January 2, 2026, has sent shockwaves through Washington and the global prediction market industry. Just hours before U.S. Special Operations forces launched "Operation Absolute Resolve" to capture Venezuelan leader Nicolás [...]

In the corridors of power in Albany, a legislative storm is brewing that could redefine the boundaries between Wall Street and Las Vegas. Just four days ago, on January 12, 2026, the prediction market industry hit a staggering milestone: $701.7 million in total daily trading volume. This explosion in liquidity, fueled by the 2026 midterm [...]

In a move that signals the definitive arrival of event contracts as a mainstream asset class, Kalshi, the first regulated prediction market in the United States, has announced a staggering $1.1 billion Series E funding round. The investment values the New York-based exchange at $11 billion, catapulting it to "decacorn" status and marking one of [...]

In the wake of the most heavily traded political event in history, a landmark study from Vanderbilt University has sent shockwaves through the burgeoning prediction market industry. The report, titled "Prediction Markets? The Accuracy and Efficiency of $2.4 Billion in the 2024 Presidential Election," reveals a startling inverse relationship between raw capital and predictive precision. [...]

As of January 16, 2026, the global financial landscape has undergone a silent revolution. The speculative fever that once characterized prediction markets during election cycles has matured into a sophisticated infrastructure for risk management. Today, traders are no longer just betting on outcomes; they are using platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket to hedge against the [...]

In the fast-evolving landscape of 2026 prediction markets, the conversation is often dominated by the massive volumes of crypto-native platforms or the retail explosion of regulated exchanges. Yet, as the primary season for the 2026 Midterm elections heats up, one name remains the essential dashboard for political professionals and junkies alike: PredictIt. Despite a decade [...]

On any given night in early 2026, a viewer tuning into prime-time news is less likely to see a panel of political consultants arguing over "vibes" and more likely to see a glowing, fluctuating percentage at the bottom of the screen. As of January 16, 2026, the traditional news ticker has been permanently altered. The [...]

As the NFL enters the Divisional Round of the playoffs, a quiet revolution is taking place in how fans engage with the gridiron. While traditional sportsbooks are flooded with standard wagers, a new breed of market participant is flocking to Kalshi, the federally regulated event contract exchange. Since its aggressive expansion into sports in early [...]

As the 2026 legislative session kicks off in Albany, a high-stakes battle is brewing that could decide the future of information finance in the United States. New York lawmakers are currently weighing Assembly Bill A9251, more ominously known as the "ORACLE Act." The proposed legislation seeks to categorize event contracts on platforms like Kalshi and [...]

In early 2026, the global financial landscape is undergoing a silent but profound restructuring. What were once dismissed as niche "betting" sites for political junkies have transformed into the "truth engine" of the modern economy. Prediction markets are no longer just speculative sideshows; they have emerged as core financial infrastructure, providing a real-time, incentivized layer [...]

As the prediction market industry enters a pivotal 2026, a high-stakes legal battle is unfolding that will determine whether these platforms are treated as sophisticated financial exchanges or local gambling dens. At the heart of the conflict is a strategy known as "Federal Preemption," where platforms argue that federal oversight by the Commodity Futures Trading [...]

As of January 16, 2026, the financial landscape has undergone a seismic shift that few traditional analysts predicted just two years ago. The world of prediction markets, once a niche playground for crypto enthusiasts and political junkies, has officially entered the mainstream. Driven by the aggressive entry of retail powerhouses Robinhood Markets, Inc. (NASDAQ: HOOD) [...]

As of January 16, 2026, the global intelligence community is no longer looking solely at satellite imagery or diplomatic cables to gauge the risk of war in the Middle East. Instead, they are watching the order books. The concept of "Operation Iron Strike"—a rumored Israeli military operation against Iranian strategic sites—has moved from classified briefings [...]

In the high-stakes world of "information finance," the common wisdom has long been that more money equals more truth. The theory of the "wisdom of the crowd" suggests that as trading volume increases, market prices become more accurate reflections of reality. However, a bombshell new study from Vanderbilt University is turning that assumption on its [...]

As the 2026 legislative session kicks off in Albany, the future of the prediction market industry hangs in a delicate balance. New York lawmakers are currently locked in a philosophical and legal tug-of-war over whether these platforms—which allow users to trade on the outcome of everything from elections to interest rate hikes—are sophisticated financial tools [...]

As the dust settles on the hyper-active forecasting cycles of the last two years, a landmark study from Vanderbilt University has sent shockwaves through the prediction market industry. For years, the prevailing wisdom was that "liquidity is king"—that the more money and participants a market has, the more accurate its "crowdsourced wisdom" becomes. However, according [...]

As of January 16, 2026, the landscape of retail finance has been irrevocably altered. What began as a high-stakes legal battle between Kalshi and federal regulators in late 2024 has blossomed into a multi-billion dollar industry, with Robinhood Markets, Inc. (NASDAQ: HOOD) standing at the center of the storm. The integration of prediction markets—once a [...]

In a seismic shift for the prediction market landscape, Kalshi has officially overtaken Polymarket as the dominant force in the industry. As of early January 2026, Kalshi handled approximately 66.4% of total global trades, a staggering reversal from the crypto-native era of 2024. The surge has been fueled by a combination of federal regulatory approval, [...]

As we move into the first quarter of 2026, the prediction market landscape looks radically different than it did just two years ago. What was once a niche corner of the internet for data nerds and political junkies has become a global financial powerhouse, integrated into mainstream newsrooms and financial terminals. This shift can be [...]

The barrier between the "casino" and the "exchange" has officially collapsed. On January 12, 2026, the prediction market industry hit a staggering milestone, recording a single-day trading volume of $701.7 million. This record-shattering activity was not driven by casual retail speculation, but by the entry of some of the most sophisticated quantitative trading firms in [...]

The landscape of American elections changed forever not at a ballot box, but in a federal courtroom. Following a historic legal triumph over the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), Kalshi has transitioned from an embattled startup to the vanguard of a multi-billion dollar industry. Today, as of January 16, 2026, the platform’s "Congressional Control" markets [...]

On January 15, 2026, during the Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (NYSE: GS) fourth-quarter earnings call, the high-finance world received a jolt that few saw coming so soon. CEO David Solomon, usually measured in his assessment of emerging retail trends, threw his weight behind the burgeoning prediction market industry. Solomon characterized the sector as "super interesting" [...]

In a historic shift for the world of decentralized finance and political forecasting, Polymarket has officially surpassed $2 billion in total trading volume for its "Presidential Election Winner 2024" market. This staggering milestone comes as the platform experiences a parabolic surge in activity, cementing its status as the world’s largest prediction market and a primary [...]

In a stunning display of prediction markets outperforming traditional media—and potentially uncovering federal corruption—an anonymous trader on the decentralized platform Polymarket turned a $32,000 bet into more than $400,000 by correctly predicting the capture of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro. The trades were executed on January 2, 2026, just hours before U.S. special operations forces conducted [...]

As the Federal Reserve prepares for its first policy meeting of 2026, the global financial community is looking past traditional bank reports and focusing on a new, high-speed indicator: the prediction market. With over $360 million in trading volume now concentrated on the outcome of the January 28, 2026, FOMC meeting, these platforms have officially [...]

As of mid-January 2026, a seismic shift has occurred in the landscape of global finance. Prediction markets, once relegated to the fringes of political punditry and sports betting, have officially matured into what many are calling "Information Finance." Nowhere is this more evident than in the "Geopolitical Surge"—a phenomenon that has seen geopolitical risk markets [...]

As the smoke clears from one of the most unpredictable NFL Wild Card weekends in modern history, the biggest winner isn’t just a team on the field, but a unique prediction model in the cloud. While traditional sportsbooks and Vegas sharps scrambled to adjust lines for veteran-heavy favorites, Manifold Markets, a play-money social prediction platform, [...]

As the NFL post-season enters its most critical stretch, the traditional landscape of sports wagering is facing a paradigm shift. On January 14, 2026, the prediction market industry reached a staggering milestone, processing over $701.7 million in a single day of trading. This record-breaking activity, driven primarily by the high-stakes matchups of the NFL Wild [...]

The landscape of American news has undergone a radical transformation over the past twelve months. As of January 15, 2026, the once-sharp divide between financial speculation and civic journalism has effectively collapsed. Today, when viewers tune into major news networks, they are no longer just seeing poll results or expert opinions; they are seeing live, [...]

As of January 15, 2026, the prediction market landscape has been fundamentally reshaped by what insiders are calling the "regulatory heist of the decade." Following years of operating in a state of "regulatory exile" from the United States, Polymarket has successfully completed its strategic acquisition of QCEX, a CFTC-licensed exchange. The $112 million deal, finalized [...]

On October 7, 2025, the landscape of global finance and political forecasting shifted permanently. Intercontinental Exchange (NYSE: ICE), the owner of the New York Stock Exchange, announced a staggering $2 billion strategic investment in Polymarket, the world’s leading decentralized prediction platform. By January 15, 2026, the effects of this "institutional seal of approval" are no [...]

The era of prediction markets being dismissed as niche playgrounds for "degen" crypto enthusiasts and political junkies has officially ended. As of January 15, 2026, the world’s most elite high-frequency trading (HFT) firms have not just entered the arena—they have colonized it. Firms like DRW, Susquehanna International Group (SIG), and Jane Street are no longer [...]

As we enter 2026, the American financial landscape has been permanently altered by a revolution that didn't happen on Wall Street, but in a federal courtroom in Washington D.C. Late 2024 marked the "Big Bang" for prediction markets, spearheaded by Kalshi’s landmark legal victory against the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). The fallout from that [...]

When the dust finally settled on the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election, the biggest winner wasn't just on the ballot; it was the platform that saw the outcome coming long before the first cable news network called a single swing state. Polymarket, the decentralized prediction platform, didn't just participate in the election cycle—it dominated the narrative, [...]

As the United States enters the second year of the second Trump administration, the focus of global forecasting has shifted from the shock of the 2024 results to the high-stakes chess match of the 2026 Midterm elections. On January 15, 2026, prediction markets are signaling a dramatic pivot in American power: Polymarket and Manifold Markets [...]

On January 15, 2026, the global financial landscape has been permanently altered by a collision between the old world of institutional finance and the new frontier of decentralized intelligence. The Intercontinental Exchange (NYSE: ICE), the powerhouse parent company of the New York Stock Exchange, has finalized a landmark $2 billion investment into Polymarket, the world’s [...]

In the high-stakes theater of the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election, two narratives competed for the public’s trust. One, driven by traditional pollsters like NYT/Siena and FiveThirtyEight, suggested a race "too close to call"—a coin-flip election destined for a weeks-long recount. The other, broadcast in real-time by prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi, signaled a decisive [...]

As of mid-January 2026, the landscape of digital wagering has undergone a fundamental shift. What was once a niche world of political "event contracts" has been swallowed by the behemoth of American sports. Kalshi, the leading CFTC-regulated prediction market, has officially completed its metamorphosis into a financialized sports powerhouse. The catalyst? The late 2025 launch [...]

The battle for the soul of the prediction market industry has reached a fever pitch as 2026 begins, with traders increasingly convinced that federal authority will ultimately crush state-level attempts to ban event contracts. On Manifold Markets, a leading sentiment-based forecasting platform, the probability that federal preemption will protect regulated exchanges from state-level bans currently [...]

As of January 15, 2026, the future of the prediction market industry in the United States is being decided not in a trading pit in Chicago or a tech hub in San Francisco, but in the legislative chambers of Albany, New York. A fierce legal and legislative battle has erupted as New York lawmakers move [...]

The prediction market landscape has officially transitioned from a niche interest for statisticians into a cornerstone of the global financial system. As of January 15, 2026, Kalshi has cemented its status as the "CME of event contracts," reaching a staggering $11 billion valuation following a record-breaking $1 billion Series E funding round. This valuation marks [...]

The capture of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro by U.S. forces on January 3, 2026, was a geopolitical shockwave that few saw coming. But while the world’s intelligence agencies and newsrooms were caught off guard, a single anonymous trader on the prediction platform Polymarket appeared to have a front-row seat to the planning. In a series [...]

The world of finance shifted on its axis this week. On Monday, January 12, 2026, prediction markets achieved a staggering, record-breaking $701.7 million in single-day trading volume. This milestone represents more than just a spike in activity; it marks the definitive arrival of "information finance" as a primary pillar of the global economy. For years, [...]

The final weeks of 2025 marked a historic turning point for both monetary policy and the burgeoning industry of prediction markets. As the Federal Reserve prepared for its final meeting of the year, a massive wave of capital flooded platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket, correctly forecasting a 25 basis point rate cut that many institutional [...]

As the calendar turns to early 2026, the political landscape is already being reshaped not by campaign rallies, but by the rapid-fire clicks of high-stakes traders. Prediction markets have officially entered their "super-cycle," with the 2026 U.S. Midterm elections driving unprecedented liquidity. For the first time in history, daily trading volume across the sector eclipsed [...]

As of January 15, 2026, the global prediction market landscape has evolved from a speculative niche into a $20 billion pillar of institutional finance. While political elections once provided the primary fuel for these platforms, the focus has shifted decisively toward "hard" macroeconomic data. The centerpiece of this shift is Kalshi’s blockbuster contract, "Will the [...]

In the high-stakes arena of global prediction markets, where fortunes are made and lost on the blink of a headline, a new and sobering narrative is taking hold. As of January 15, 2026, the meteoric rise of platforms like Polymarket has turned prediction trading into a multi-billion dollar industry. However, a growing chorus of analysts [...]

As we cross the midpoint of January 2026, the final tallies for the previous year have confirmed a seismic shift in global finance: prediction markets are no longer a niche curiosity for political junkies and crypto-enthusiasts. In 2025, the industry didn't just meet the ambitious $40 billion volume projection set by analysts—it shattered it, recording [...]

As of January 15, 2026, the global financial landscape has witnessed a paradigm shift in how institutional investors manage tail risk and policy uncertainty. What was once dismissed as a niche domain for retail speculators has matured into a sophisticated layer of market infrastructure. Prediction markets, or event contracts, are now being utilized by top-tier [...]